Associative Remote Viewing Projects: Assessing Rater-reliability and Factors Affecting Successful Predictions
Publisher: Journal of the Society for Psychical Research, 2021, Vol. 85, No. 2, 65–90, www.spr.ac.uk
Researchers: By Debra Lynne Katz, Igor grgIc´, PatrIzIo tressoldi and T.W. Fendley
Abstract
Associative Remote Viewing (ARV) is a psi-based methodology used by
individuals and for-profit organizations to predict such things as sportingevent
outcomes, stock market moves, and for research purposes. Documented
studies have shown the successful application of psi using ARV to predict
future events, leading to profits, and unsuccessful applications, leading to
losses. To better understand the contributing factors, 86 completed ARV trials,
which included 220 remote viewing transcripts for individual sporting or
financial events, were collected. Three teams of judges operating under blind
conditions — some working independently, some working as teams — repeated
the process of judging, scoring, and predicting, while keeping all other
variables stable. To gauge inter-rater reliability, the new scores and predictions
were compared to the original scores and predictions, as well as to each other.
Rating variance was clearly demonstrated. Judges were in 100% agreement in
only six (6.9%) of 86 trials. In seventeen trials (19.7%), eight of nine judges
agreed with each other. Original judges did better than all new judges, and
judges with more experience obtained statistically significant higher hit rates
than less experienced judges. The results were virtually the same for the two
ranking scales used. This project points to a variety of factors in need of
further testing, both in future ARV projects and in parapsychology projects
that involve independent judging of tasks and photosets.
